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讲座题目：Uncertainty, Learning, and the Unemployment-Education Gap over the Life Cycle  

主讲人：段洁 浙江大学百人计划研究员

讲座时间：2025年12月24日 14:00-15:30  

讲座地点：中国人民大学明德主楼729

主讲人简介：

段洁，现任浙江大学经济188BET手机版本app百人计划研究员（2025年7月至今）。她于2025年获得新加坡国立大学经济学博士学位。她的主要研究领域为宏观劳动力市。氐愎刈⒗投κ谐〈砼涞某梢蚣捌浜旯塾跋。她的研究成果已发表在Journal of Monetary Economics和The World Economy等国际一流经济学期刊，另有一项研究项目正在The Economic Journal接受修订后再审（R&R）。

讲座简介：

We propose that college graduates enter the labor market with less uncertainty regarding which career they are most productive in, and study how this characteristic contributes to the unemployment-education gap. We document several novel facts to support our hypothesis. Notably, college graduates predict their occupation more accurately than those without a college degree. We then develop and calibrate a life cycle search model featuring differences in uncertainty by education and learning about one’s best career fit. Our quantitative analysis suggests large disparities in uncertainty by education, and that such differences can explain a sizeable portion of the unemployment-education gap.